Clinton vs. Trump: No Toss-up Map

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This map will track the electoral vote count for the 2016 presidential election based on polling.

This version of the electoral map based on polls assigns states to Clinton or Trump with no toss-ups (unless exactly tied in the polls). Whichever candidate leads in our polling average, even if by just 0.1%, 'wins' the state.  

For more information and individual poll results, see the polling averages page or visit the polling map that includes toss-ups and color gradients based on spread between Clinton and Trump

In this final November 8th update, Clinton led by just 0.3% in Florida and North Carolina.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2024 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2024 electoral votes will display)
no 2016 election
no 2016 election
VT
NH
MA
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DC

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Electoral College Meets Tuesday

December 16, 2024

The next step in the presidential process will affirm Donald Trump received the necessary 270 electoral votes to be elected

Final 2024 Election Maps

December 4, 2024

Interactive Maps for the 2024 Election Results for President, Senate, House, and Governor

House Election Update: One District Remains Uncalled

November 28, 2024

Republicans will hold one of the narrowest majorities in history as the new Congress gets underway in January

Republicans Flip Alaska Congressional District; Two California Districts Remain Uncalled

November 16, 2024

The final tally will be close to where we started - Republicans held a 221-214 edge heading into the election.

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 14

November 14, 2024

Four U.S. House and one U.S. Senate seat remain uncalled by Decision Desk HQ, which provides results to 270toWin